Parameter Rosetta Stone
Every parameter has three names: physics notation for papers, Promise Names for humans, and a plain description for everyone. This page maps all three.
Core Parameters
| # | Physics | Promise Name | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | k | Commitment Shape | How predictable the timing is. The shape of the waiting-time distribution — whether commitments resolve quickly and predictably (k > 1) or spread out into a heavy tail (k < 1). |
| 2 | γ_obs | Watch Rate | How often someone checks. The rate at which commitments are observed or verified. High Watch Rate compresses resolution timing and creates the Verification Paradox. |
| 3 | γ_dec | Drift Rate | How fast unattended commitments decay. The rate at which commitment fidelity erodes when no one is watching. Zero in every non-cooperative system — the cooperation diagnostic. |
| 4 | γ_prs | Pressure Rate | How fast failures get corrected. The rate at which failed or degraded commitments are restored under external pressure or enforcement. |
| 5 | mf | Resolution Bias | What % of checked promises resolve positively. The fraction of observed commitments that resolve in the compliant direction, as opposed to failure or deferral. |
| 6 | R² | Fit Quality | How well the equation matches reality. The coefficient of determination — how much of the observed variance is explained by the Weibull survival model. Ranges from 0 to 1. |
| 7 | Γ | Noise Floor | Background chaos decoupling linked promises. Environmental noise that breaks correlations between structurally linked commitments, causing them to evolve independently. |
| 8 | H | Structural Coupling | Force that linked promises exert on each other. The Hamiltonian coupling strength between entangled commitment states — how strongly co-dependent commitments influence each other's evolution. |
| 9 | γ_frac | Autonomy Fraction | What % evolves independently (calibrated 75/25). The fraction of a commitment's evolution that is self-directed vs. structurally driven by linked promises. Empirically calibrated at 75% autonomous. |
Derived Diagnostics
| Physics | Promise Name | Description |
|---|---|---|
γ_dec > 0 | Cooperation Diagnostic | Drift Rate = 0 in every non-cooperative system — theater, not commitment. Drift Rate > 0 indicates active maintenance: someone is doing real work to keep promises alive. |
k(γ_obs → ∞) | Verification Paradox | Commitment Shape jumps from ~0.37 to ~0.90 at the moment of verification. Checking makes networks look worse (more violations detected) while making them work better (violations resolved faster). |
The Four Channels
The Lindblad master equation governing commitment dynamics operates through four dissipative channels, each corresponding to a physical process.
L₁Observation Channelγ_obs · σ₋Measurement collapses the quantum superposition of commitment states. Observing a commitment forces it from ambiguous to resolved.
L₂Decay Channelγ_dec · σ₋Unobserved commitments drift toward failure. Without active maintenance, promise fidelity erodes at rate γ_dec.
L₃Pressure Channelγ_prs · σ₊External enforcement restores failed commitments. Regulatory pressure or accountability mechanisms push failed promises back toward compliance.
L₄Noise ChannelΓ · σ_zEnvironmental turbulence decouples linked promises. Background noise breaks structural correlations between co-dependent commitments.
Commitment Shape Regimes
The Weibull shape parameter k (Commitment Shape) classifies the underlying dynamical regime. These are not grades — they are descriptions.
k < 1.0Amorphous, spreading — heavy-tailed waiting times. Most commitments resolve quickly, but a long tail of promises take far longer than expected. Common in institutional settings where some conditions stall indefinitely.
Examples: MONA (k=0.667), Global Fund (k=0.820)
k ≈ 1.0 (0.9–1.1)Near-exponential — memoryless resolution timing. The hazard rate is roughly constant: a commitment is equally likely to resolve at any point in time, regardless of how long it's been active.
Examples: Freedom House (k=1.010), WGI (k=1.004), Mycelium (k=1.060)
1.1 ≤ k < 2.0Increasing hazard — commitment strength grows over time. Older commitments are more likely to resolve than newer ones. The system has memory: survival so far predicts future survival.
Examples: NYC Taxi (k=1.394), ECHO EPA (k=1.196)
k ≥ 2.0Deterministic-like — highly predictable, narrow timing distribution. Commitments cluster tightly around a characteristic resolution time. Near-mechanical precision.
Examples: Oregon CCO (k=2.019), IEG World Bank (k=2.283)
Cooperation Diagnostic
Drift Rate = 0 in every non-cooperative system.
The Drift Rate parameter (γ_dec) measures how fast unobserved commitments decay. In every non-cooperative system tested — from NYC Taxi trips to World Bank project outcomes — this value is exactly zero. In every cooperative system, it is strictly positive.
A Drift Rate of zero means the system is in Theater: commitment-shaped activity with no underlying maintenance dynamics. The math detects it automatically — no judgment required.
Quick Reference
k → Commitment Shape → How predictable is the timing? g_obs → Watch Rate → How often does someone check? g_dec → Drift Rate → How fast do promises erode? g_prs → Pressure Rate → How fast do failures get fixed? mf → Resolution Bias → What % resolve positively? R2 → Fit Quality → How well does the model fit? G → Noise Floor → How much background chaos exists? H → Structural Coupling → How strongly are promises linked? g_frac → Autonomy Fraction → What % is self-directed?