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Papers

Empirical analysis of commitment network dynamics. All papers use public datasets; code and data are available on GitHub.

  • PublishedSSRN #6444080March 2026

    The Verification Paradox

    How Checking Makes Commitment Networks Look Worse and Work Better

    69,847 observationsWeibull survival analysisLindblad master equationsMONA dataset (IMF Lending Conditions)
    Read on SSRN (opens in new tab)
  • Working paperMarch 2026

    The Data Wants Its Physics Back

    Lindbladian Dynamics of Institutional Commitment Networks

    267,000+ observationsLindblad master equationsGKSL master equationcross-substrate comparison9 substrates: MONA, Freedom House, WGI, NYC Taxi, ECHO, IEG, Global Fund, Mycelium, Oregon CCO
  • In preparation2026

    [Title TBD]

    Cross-Substrate Universality and Group Size Scaling

    Data collected. Analysis complete. Writing pending.